What Are Moral Values?
How Important Were They in the Presidential Election?
ROCHESTER, N.Y. – November 6, 2008 – Political
commentators often refer to "values voters" as those who believe that
moral values matter the most when it comes to choosing a presidential candidate.
In the past, values voters were a crucial component of the Republican base that
helped elect Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush to the White House.
Conducted just before the election, The Harris Poll®
found that about half (51%) of voters said that moral values were very
important in deciding which candidate to vote for, however, the moral values
most of these people had in mind were the personal characteristics of the
candidates – their honesty, integrity and character.
Furthermore, only a few people mentioned abortion or gay
rights as important issues when choosing a candidate – a small fraction of
those who cared more about the economy, health care, the war in Iraq, taxes, the
war on terror, Social Security, immigration, education, foreign policy or the
environment.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll, a new
nationwide survey of 1,695 likely voters, surveyed online between October 20 and
27, 2008, just before the election, by Harris Interactive®.
The main findings of this Harris Poll include:
- Among all likely voters, the most important issues in deciding which
presidential candidate to support were the economy (68%), health care (37%),
taxes (31%) and the war in Iraq (31%);
- Among Obama voters, the most important issues were the economy (75%),
health care (51%), war in Iraq (35%), education (23%) and taxes (22%);
- Among McCain voters, the most important issues were the economy (61%),
taxes (44%), the war on terror (38%), immigration (24%), health care (22%),
and the war in Iraq (22%);
- It should be noted therefore that health care, the war in Iraq and
education were much more important to Obama voters, while taxes, the war on
terror, immigration – and abortion -- are much more important to McCain
supporters;
- However, only 14 percent of McCain supporters (and 4% of Obama supporters)
mentioned abortion as being one of their most important issues;
- Many more McCain voters (63%) than Obama voters (39%) said that
"moral values" were very important to them;
- However, when these voters were asked what moral values were
important to them, they were more likely to refer to the personal character
of the candidates, their honesty and integrity (60%), than to what the
pundits often refer to as moral or family values (40%). This is true of both
Obama voters and McCain voters, although the latter were much more
likely to mention family or religious values such as abortion or gay
marriage; and,
- Of all the moral values mentioned that fit the stereotype of the
"values voter" as portrayed in the media, only abortion was
mentioned by a substantial number of people. Relatively few voters, in this
election, seemed to think gay marriage or Christian or family values were of
great importance. Hardly any mentioned stem cell research.
So What?
Remember that when voters say that they prefer a candidate on
the basis of "moral values", and/or when they say moral values are
very important to them; they are probably referring to a candidate’s personal
values, and not the politician’s position on abortion, single sex marriage,
Christian beliefs, or stem cell research. If you equate the words "values
voters" to "moral voters", caveat lector – let the
reader beware!
TABLE 1
TWO OR THREE MOST IMPORTANT OF TWELVE ISSUES IN DECIDING
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
"Looking at the list of issues, which two or three are
most important to you in deciding which presidential candidate you would vote
for?"
Base: Likely voters
|
Likely Voters |
Obama Voters |
McCain Voters |
% |
% |
% |
Economic issues |
68 |
75 |
61 |
Health care |
37 |
51 |
22 |
Taxes |
31 |
22 |
44 |
War in Iraq |
31 |
35 |
22 |
War on terror |
23 |
6 |
38 |
Social Security |
18 |
20 |
18 |
Immigration |
17 |
6 |
24 |
Education |
14 |
23 |
8 |
Foreign policy |
17 |
15 |
15 |
The environment |
12 |
18 |
7 |
Abortion |
10 |
4 |
14 |
Gay rights |
5 |
5 |
4 |
Note: Percentages may not add to 100% because of rounding.
TABLE 2
IMPORTANCE OF "MORAL VALUES"
"How important are moral values to you in deciding which
candidate to vote for?"
Base: Likely voters
|
Likely Voters |
Obama Voters |
McCain Voters |
% |
% |
% |
Important (NET) |
89 |
87 |
93 |
Very important |
51 |
39 |
63 |
Somewhat important |
38 |
48 |
30 |
Not Important (NET) |
11 |
13 |
7 |
Not very important |
8 |
10 |
6 |
Not at all important |
2 |
3 |
1 |
Note: Percentages may not add to 100% because of rounding.
TABLE 3
WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY MORAL VALUES?
"What do you mean when you say that moral values are very
important to you?
What values do you have in mind? "
(Open Ended Question)
Base: Say "moral values are very important"
|
Likely Voters |
Obama Voters |
McCain Voters |
% |
% |
% |
Personal characteristics (NET) (e.g. honesty, integrity, character) (see Table 4 below)
|
60 |
66 |
55 |
Family/Religious values (NET) (e.g. abortion, biblical values, gay marriage)
(see Table 5 below)
|
40 |
27 |
48 |
Issues (NET) (e.g., equal rights, no conflict of interest)
|
18 |
19 |
17 |
TABLE 4
"VALUES" MENTIONED MOST OFTEN: PERSONAL
CHARACTERISTICS
"What do you mean when you say that moral values are very
important to you?
What values do you have in mind?
(Open Ended Question)
Base: Say "moral values are very important"
|
Likely Voters |
Obama Voters |
McCain Voters |
% |
% |
% |
Honesty |
27 |
25 |
25 |
Integrity |
10 |
10 |
9 |
Will do what’s best for country |
5 |
6 |
6 |
Truthful |
7 |
6 |
7 |
Character |
6 |
6 |
5 |
Trustworthy/dependable/reliable |
6 |
8 |
5 |
Ethical/has good values |
4 |
4 |
3 |
My values |
3 |
4 |
3 |
Caring/kind/compassionate |
3 |
7 |
1 |
Respect/respects others |
3 |
5 |
2 |
Does what he says/keeps his word |
4 |
2 |
4 |
All moral values |
3 |
2 |
3 |
Fair/decent/impartial |
3 |
4 |
2 |
TABLE 5
"VALUES" MENTIONED MOST OFTEN: FAMILY/RELIGIOUS
VALUES
"What do you mean when you say that moral values are very
important to you?
What values do you have in mind?
(Open Ended Question)
Base: Say "moral values are very important"
|
Likely Voters |
Obama Voters |
McCain Voters |
% |
% |
% |
Abortion |
22 |
10 |
29 |
Christian/Biblical values |
8 |
4 |
11 |
Family values/belief in the family |
7 |
8 |
7 |
Gay marriage |
6 |
3 |
7 |
Belief in God/Christ |
4 |
2 |
5 |
Gay rights |
4 |
2 |
5 |
Religious views (unspecified) |
3 |
2 |
4 |
Stance on marriage |
2 |
3 |
2 |
Marriage is one man and one woman |
2 |
1 |
3 |
Methodology
This Harris Poll® was conducted online within the
United States between October 20 and 27, 2008 among 2,303 adults (aged 18 and
over), of whom 1,695 were likely voters. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity,
education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring
them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score
weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use
probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most
often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage
error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording
and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore,
Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are
misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors
with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100%
response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close
to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those
who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been
weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample
is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no
estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of
the National Council on Public Polls.
J35170B
Q665, 670, 675
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